Climate change affected corn yields more negatively or less positively than soybean yields. Efforts are focused around the promotion of climate smart agriculture that faciliates adaptation in cerealbased and livestock systems. When the annual rainfall diverges from its mean both upward and downward, the level of production of all crop types diminished significantly. When there is extreme rainfall, the impact of fertilizer to boost. Apr 20, 2016 this study uses the ricardian approach to analyze the impact of climate change on ethiopian agriculture and to describe farmer adaptations to varying environmental factors. Pdf impacts of climate change on agriculture in ethiopia.
An empirical evidence that there is an ongoing climate change especially in subsaharan africa is the receding ice on mount kilimanjaro. Review on the impact of climate change on crop production. Ethiopian agriculture currently accounts for close to 42 percent of ethiopias output, employs 85 percent. Measuring the economic impact of climate change on ethiopian. Ethiopia is vulnerable to climate change because our economies largely depend on climate sensitive agricultural production. Strategies for mitigating climate change in agriculture. May 01, 2019 among the inevitable consequences of climate change, the most important is its impact on water resources the basis of environmental wellbeing, economic growth, and global security 2. Moreover, even if future changes in climate have only moderate impacts on average crop yields in ethiopia, there is growing evidence that weather outcomes are likely to become more variable in the. The main effect of climate change on the water resources of the entire planet is the disruption of the hydrological cycle. Plausible estimates of climate change impacts on agriculture require integrated use of climate, crop, and economic models.
Climate change affected corn yields more negatively or less positively than. Analyzing the impact of climate change on agricultural production broadens. Of the 18 agroecological zones, 11 agroecological zones, representing more than 74% of the country, were selected and total of farmers from 50 districts were interviewed. Climate risks and development projects assessment report for a communitylevel project in guduru, oromiya, ethiopia marius keller bread for all, november 2009 bread for all is the swiss protestant churches development agency. O3 1,3 joseph ayo babalola university, ikeji, arakeji, osun state 2 adeyemi college. Climate change will affect all nations, but the impact will be higher on lowincome countries, such as ethiopia, which have limited capacity to cope with the effects of a changing climate. Estimates suggest climate change may reduce ethiopias gdp up to 10 percent by 2045, primarily through impacts on agricultural productivity.
National income from exports, such as coffee, pulses, flowers and animal products, is likely to be reduced if climate change continues. The study analyzes data from 11 of the countrys 18 agroecological zones, representing more than 74 percent of the country, and survey of 1,000 farmers from 50 districts. Evidence from ethiopia mintewab bezabih, salvatore di falco, and alemu mekonnen abstract weather fluctuations tend to be. Reducing risks to food security from climate change is one of the major challenges of the 21st century. Wheat production is expected to be challenged by future climate change. The rainfall variability has significant and negative impact on outputs of crop agriculture in ethiopia. Review on the impact of climate change on crop production in ethiopia amare aleminew wubie sirinka agricultural research center, p. These changes also hamper economic activity and aggravate existing social and economic problems. The increase in temperature in ethiopia has been most rapid in july, august and september at a. Until very recently, studies on climate change in ethiopia were very limited. Schroders the impact of climate change on the global economy 3 there is also an opportunity cost to be considered.
Climate change trends and policy framework recent climate trends in ethiopia according to the undp climate change country profile, ethiopias mean annual temperature has. Key climate change implications for health in ethiopia. Pdf climate change in ethiopia variability, impact. Reducing risks to food security from climate change. But, more importantly, firstly, whereas the mixed croplivestock farming is dominant farming style, most of the studies on climate change, at least in the context of ethiopia, have looked at vulnerability to.
Climate change, crop yield, yield variability,ethiopia. The economic impact of climate change on agriculture in cameroon1 ernest l molua and cornelius m lambi2 1 an earlier version of this working paper was published as ceepa discussion paper number 17. Climate change impact on agriculture and costs of adaptation international food policy research institute washington, d. Climate change has a significant impact on agricultural systems as it affects both plant and animal health.
For this purpose, the article adopted a desktop study approach. Jun 12, 2007 impact of climate change on agriculture in africa by 2030 article pdf available in scientific research and essays vol. Terraced watersheds at loess plateau in china are a successful example of climatesmart agriculture. Rosegrant, jawoo koo, richard robertson, timothy sulser. Agriculture in south asia is vulnerable to climate change. Feb 06, 2020 climate change will affect all nations, but the impact will be higher on lowincome countries, such as ethiopia, which have limited capacity to cope with the effects of a changing climate. Climate change will be a significant challenge to farmers in guatemala. Impacts of climate change on agriculture in ethiopia. The economic impact of climate change on agriculture in cameroon1 ernest l molua and cornelius m lambi2 1 an earlier version of this working paper was published as ceepa discussion. Measuring the economic impact of climate change on.
Communities are suffering from greater variability and extreme weather events, increased temperature and declining rainfall in a country where 85 percent of farmers are dependent on rainfed agriculture. Department of natural resource management, ethiopia. Quantifying the economic effects of climate change is a crucial. Integrated landscape management to enhance food security and ecosystem. Climate change, agriculture, and economic development in.
In this study session you will learn about the impacts of climate change on human health, the environment, agriculture, water supply, sanitation and socio. Confronting the effect of climate change in ethiopia horn. Net revenue was regressed on climate, household and soil variables. There is now a very large body of evidence that human actions, mainly the burning of fossil fuels, have caused significant changes in the climate. The aim of this study was, therefore, to assess the impact of climate change on the agricultural productivity of smallholder farmers in northern ethiopia. The map below shows the global distribution of risks associated. This article aims to examine the impact of climate change on food security in south africa. These seriously limit policy formulation and decision making in terms of adaptation and mitigation strategies. Climate change is happening and already affecting food security in africa. In the nine economic models included, the direction of management intensity, area, consumption, and international trade responses to harmonized crop yield shocks from climate change are. In this report, we use climate models, crop models, and economic models to evaluate the impact of climate change at 50kilometer resolution inside guatemala and at the national lev. Drought is the single most destructive climaterelated natural hazard in ethiopia. Climate change and the ethiopian economy resources for the. Climate change impacts on crop yields in ethiopia ifpri.
Quantifying the economic effects of climate change is a crucial step for planning adaptation in developing countries. Evidence from ethiopia mintewab bezabih, salvatore di falco, and alemu mekonnen abstract weather fluctuations tend to be as important as climate change in farmers decision making in countries such as ethiopia that have virtually no weather insurance. Predicted future change 16 coffee growing in ethiopia has been negatively 20 influenced by climate change presentday suitability for coffee growing in ethiopia 20 feedback from coffee farmers and. Climate change, agriculture, and economic development in ethiopia amsalu woldie yalew 1, georg hirte 2, hermann lotzecampen 1,3 and stefan tscharaktschiew 2 1 potsdam institute for climate impact research pik, member of the leibniz association, p. Climate change to impact on human health in ethiopia who. It is expected that the majority of the impact of climate change will affect the agriculture sector the most due to its. In ethiopia, most studies on the impact of climate change on water resources focus on catchments of the nile basin, for. The impacts of climate change have been observed in ethiopia. Impact of climate change and anthropogenic activities on livelihood of fishing community around lake tana, ethiopia. Adverse climate change impacts are considered to be particularly strong in countries located in tropical africa that depend on agriculture as. Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for guatemala.
Climate change can have important effect on the water resources and water demand like urban and agriculture uses. Analysis of vulnerability and resilience to climate change induced shocks in north shewa, ethiopia. Agriculture is the foundation of ethiopias economy where crop production contributes more than 65% of the agricultural gdp of the country. On the impact of weather variability and climate change on agriculture. Effects of climate change variability on agricultural productivity. The global climate is the connected system of sun, earth and oceans, wind, rain and snow, forests, deserts and savannas, and. The map below shows the global distribution of risks associated with main agricultural production systems. Climate change, agriculture, and adaptation options for costa.
Impacts of climate change on crop production and its. Notillage and rye cover crop did not ping serveas effective adaptations in regards to yields. The impacts of climate change have been observed in ethiopia over a long period of time which changes the environmental conditions that influence the livelihoods of the farmers and thus the national economy. Ethiopia is the worlds fifth largest coffee producer and. The impact of climate change on smallholder and subsistence agriculture john f. The impacts of climate change on food production in the. Feb, 2019 english news and press release on ethiopia about climate change and environment, contributions and drought. The above analysis is based on a ceteris paribus1 argument whereby the worlds population is seen not to respond to climate change. Overview agriculture is the most climate sensitive of all economic sectors.
Ricardian approach1 temesgen tadesse deressa2 1 an earlier version of this working paper was published. The economic implications of climate change are estimated by using. However, it is unclear how wheat grown in diverse agroecologies will respond t. Famine early warning systems networkinforming climate change adaptation series. Climate change is expected to have significant impacts on the economy of ethiopia which is highly dependent on climatesensitive activities such as rainfed agriculture and livestock production. The variability in climate change presents a major challenge. The impacts of climate change on crop yield can already be detected in observed data. Estimates suggest climate change may reduce ethiopia s gdp up to 10 percent by 2045, primarily through impacts on agricultural productivity. Climate change and agricultural productivity article pdf available in african journal of agricultural research 735. Climate change and agricultural productivity in ethiopia. Integrated landscape management to enhance food security and ecosystem resilience in. One of the most important projects to mitigate climate change with agriculture and adapting agriculture to climate change at the same time, was launched in 2019 by the global evergreening alliance. As such, the number of studies on climate change and its impacts is increasing and the major aspects addressed include.
The above analysis is based on a ceteris paribus1 argument whereby the worlds. Reynolds and rodomiro ortiz predictions of climate change and its impact on crop productivity 2 scenarios of climate change within the context of agriculture 9 andy jarvis, julian ramirez, ben anderson, christoph leibing and pramod aggarwal. Review on the impact of climate change on crop production in. Climate change and its impact on the yield of major food. This paper was funded by the gef and the world bank. In albania, the impacts of climate change on the agricultural sector represent an urgent problem, since the majority of the rural population depends either directly or indirectly on agriculture. Ministry of environment, forest and climate change, ethiopia. In addition, the program works with the ministry of agriculture to mainstream climate change into national agriculture plans and agriculture into climate change policy. Climate change vulnerability and risk assessment of agriculture and.
Adaptation to climate change is expected to increase maize yields in all aezs, with mk gaining the most from adaptations. The climate attributes that are expected to have the most direct impacts on agricultural productivity are the rise in temperature, the change in the frequency and intensity of precipitation and of extreme weather phenomena, and the increase in the level of co 2 available for photosynthesis. In albania, the impacts of climate change on the agricultural sector represent an. The impact of climate change on smallholder and subsistence. List of adaptation options from climate resilience strategy agriculture and forestry, 2015. But a key culprit in climate changecarbon emissions can also help agriculture by enhancing photosynthesis in. Predicted future change 16 coffee growing in ethiopia has been negatively 20 influenced by climate change presentday suitability for coffee growing in ethiopia 20 feedback from coffee farmers and direct observation 21 climate change will continue to impact 24 and alter coffee growing in ethiopia over the coming decades climate change modelling. Climate change in ethiopia variability, impact, mitigation, and adaptation article pdf available may 2016 with 22,774 reads how we measure reads. Studies on the impact of climate change on growth and poverty in ethiopia should focus on the agricultural sector for it is undoubtedly the most important, and sensitive, sector to climate change. Especially, as agriculture is climatedependent and thus susceptible to climate change, it is very urgent to prepare adaptation measures. Ethiopia is not an exception to the effects of climate change, whilst its impact may be exacerbated by the countrys huge dependence on rainfed agriculture, high population growth, insufficient climaterelated information, water scarcity, poverty and low. The economic impact of climate change on agriculture in cameroon. Among the inevitable consequences of climate change, the most important is its impact on water resources the basis of environmental wellbeing, economic growth, and global security 2. Farmers response to climate change and variability in ethiopia.
Mar 04, 2014 plausible estimates of climate change impacts on agriculture require integrated use of climate, crop, and economic models. Spatial analysis of the impact of climate change factors. On the impact of weather variability and climate change on. Weather variability, climate change and agricultural productivity in ethiopia. The impact of climate change on food security in south. We investigate the contribution of economic models to. This paper presents an empirical analysis of the impact of climate change on agriculture in a typical developing country.
It is expected that the majority of the impact of climate change will affect the agriculture sector the most due to its vulnerability 30. Climate change trends and policy framework recent climate trends in ethiopia according to the undp climate change country profile, ethiopias mean annual temperature has increased by 1. Impacts of climate change on food security learners notes 3 agricultural systems will need to cope with new stresses and risks. Pdf agriculture under a changing climate in ethiopia.
Climate change, agriculture, and economic development in ethiopia. The impacts of climate change on water resources have a direct effect on. Study session 11 impacts of climate change in ethiopia. Climate change refers to significant, longterm changes in the global climate. This study assesses the economywide and regional effects of climate changeinduced productivity and labor supply shocks in ethiopian agriculture. Therefore, adaptation measures are required to sustain agricultural productivity, to reduce vulnerability, and to enhance the resilience of. The biocarbon fund, a publicprivate initiative administered by the world bank, has agreed to purchase carbon credits generated by this project. Climate change impact on water resources in the awash. Estimating the impact of climate change on agriculture in. An analysis of the impacts of climate change on crop yield and. To assist countries in developing and transforming agricultural systems that both limit their impact on and are resilient to climate change, the food and agriculture. Review of climate change and its effect on nigeria ecosystem olaniyi o. Impact of climate change and anthropogenic activities on livelihood of fishing community around lake tana, ethiopia 551 citation. It supports 400 development projects and programmes in 57 countries in africa, asia and latin america.
Final paper the impact of climate change on the agricultural. Ethiopia is vulnerable to the impacts of climate change mainly due to geographical location, rapid human population growth, heavy dependence on agriculture and natural resources for subsistence, widespread poverty and limited resources human, financial, technical, technological, institutional, and infrastructural. Ethiopia is historically a victim of extreme weather variability, including erratic rainfall and major flooding. The impact of climate change on the agricultural sector. Confronting the effect of climate change in ethiopia. Climate change can have significant negative impacts on ethiopias. Pdf agricultural model intercomparison and improvement project agmip is a global initiative aimed at making comprehensive assessment. Analysis of vulnerability and resilience to climate change. Current conditions and forecasts of global climate change 5 3 impacts of climate change on the agricultural sector 8 3. The economic impact of climate change on agriculture in. The rainfall variability has significant and negative impact on outputs of crop agriculture in. The effects of climate change have been explored in the arkansas river basin in colorado which is. Research pdf available december 2015 with,690 reads how we measure reads.
Pdf impact of climate change on agriculture in africa by 2030. Climate change impacts on ethiopian agriculture, growth, and poverty. Impact of climate change and anthropogenic activities on. Impact of rainfall variability on crop production within. We investigate the contribution of economic models to uncertainty in this impact chain.
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